Austin Bashi vs Lucas Brennan Prediction

Co-Main Event · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, USA

Featherweight

🇺🇸 Austin Bashi 14-2-0 1.59
VS
🇺🇸 Lucas Brennan 11-3-0 2.32
Austin Bashi 59%Lucas Brennan 41%
Austin BashiLucas Brennan
Record14-2-011-3-0
Win rate88%79%
Pro fights1614
CountryUSAUSA
Pick A Fight odds1.592.32
Win chance59%41%

Austin Bashi is 14-2, winning 88% of 16 pro fights; Lucas Brennan is 11-3, winning 79% of 14 pro fights.

Pick A Fight's record-based model makes Austin Bashi a slight favorite (59% to win, odds 1.59). It only looks at records — opposition quality, styles, layoffs and weight cuts aren't in it, which is where upsets come from.

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